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  • Writer's pictureLashaun Turner

California's Black population continues to decline. Are Democrat policies to blame?

California has witnessed a notable demographic shift, particularly among its Black population.

Black Woman Packing


California’s population: 40% of Californians are Latino, 35% are white, 15% are Asian American or Pacific Islander, 5% are Black, 4% are multiracial, and fewer than 1% are Native American or Alaska Natives, according to the 2022 American Community Survey. (Source) PPIC

California has witnessed a notable demographic shift, particularly among its Black population. Termed the "Black exodus," this phenomenon where Black residents are leaving the state in significant number intertwines with California's Democratic politics. Raising questions about policy impacts, economic pressures, and the broader implications for todays political landscape.


The migration away from California, especially by Black residents, isn't a new phenomenon but has intensified due to a mix of economic factors, quality of life issues, and political climate. High costs of living, particularly housing, have been pivotal.


Economically, the state's high cost of living, driven by housing costs but also by taxes and regulations has led to middle-class flight, including Black families, to states with lower living expenses. Here, Democrat policies aiming for progressive taxation and stringent labor laws are pushing the middle class towards states with more business-friendly environments.


Socially, the narrative around Democrat policies often touches on issues like crime, education, and social services. While there's a push for criminal justice reform, which might resonate with Black communities due to historical injustices, the execution has been criticized for potentially contributing to lawlessness that impacts safety disproportionately in the Black community.


Former strongholds for Black residents like Compton have indeed seen a significant demographic shift over the years, with its Black population decreasing while the immigrant population surged. Democrat policies are associated with immigration friendly stances and California is a sanctuary state.


Immigration, especially of low-skilled workers, increases competition in the labor market for jobs that Black Americans compete for, leading to lower wages or higher unemployment rates among Black workers making California less economically viable.


San Francisco, Oakland, and Los Angeles, once vibrant with Black communities, have seen these populations dwindle due to gentrification and rising rents.


According to Cal Matters, the black population has plunged 45% in Compton, 43% in San Francisco and 40% in Oakland.


California's Democratic governance has been at the helm during this demographic shift. While there's a historical allegiance, recent political strategies that focus on broader coalitions have diluted specific focus on Black issues.


Yet, 75% of Blacks remain affiliated with the Democrat party.

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